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FICO: Americans More Likely to Default on Mortgages than Credit Cards	3/10/2010 1:26 PM
Posted To: MND NewsWire American consumers are now defaulting on their mortgages in even greater numbers than they are walking away from credit card debt. According to FICO's® Score Trends Service, this is a phenomenon that is historically unique. FICO said the mortgage default risk for consumers with high FICO scores now exceeds their credit card default risk, even though most credit cards are unsecured credit and mortgages are secured by real estate. There is a parallel rise in mortgage delinquencies for these high scoring consumers. The company said that their analysis of trends in FICO scoring shows that recent repayment behavior has shifted significantly from what has historically been expected. In 2005 bankcard accounts were more than 3 times more likely to become seriously delinquent, that is 90+ days...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.
MBS LUNCH: 10 Year Treasury Auction Results and Reactions	3/10/2010 12:08 PM
Posted To: MBS Commentary 10 year auction has impressive demand, but at higher rates. 3.45 Bid To Cover, but 3.735 % high yield with 70.94% of the bids at high yield MBS and Treasuries both slightly better on the announcement 4.5's are now down only 2 ticks on the day at 100-29 and 10yr yields are back down to 3.72+ from 3.74+ Here is a breakdown of the auction results: 9-YR 11-MO NOTES YIELDS High 3.735 pct Median 3.700 pct Low 3.636 pct PRICE/ACCEPTANCES Price 99.090493 Accepted at high 70.94 pct Bid-to-cover ratio 3.45 AMOUNTS TENDERED AND ACCEPTED (dollars) Total accepted 21,000,013,800 Total public bids tendered 72,466,493,000 Competitive bids accepted 20,829,510,800 Noncompetitive bids accepted 70,503,000 Fed add-ons 248,452,700 Primary Dealer Tendered 49,661,000,000 Primary Dealer Accepted 9,857,410,000 Primary...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.
Loan Demand Stagnates. Only One Bright Spot in the Production Slowdown	3/10/2010 11:09 AM
Posted To: MND NewsWire The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 5, 2010. The survey covers over 50 percent of all US residential mortgage loan applications taken by mortgage bankers, commercial banks, and thrifts. The data gives economists a look into consumer demand for mortgage loans. A rising trend of mortgage applications indicates an increase in home buying interest, a positive for the housing industry and economy as a whole. Furthermore, in a low mortgage rate environment, such a trend implies consumers are seeking out lower monthly payments which can result in increased disposable income and therefore more money to spend on discretionary items or to pay down other debt. From the release: The Market Composite Index, a measure of...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.
MBS MORNING: Losing Ground As Benchmarks Back Up	3/10/2010 11:05 AM
Posted To: MBS Commentary 4.5 MBS down 6 ticks to 100-26 10yr Tsy about 5bps higher at 3.743 (vs. 5pm yesterday) Wholesale Trade Improves from -.8% to -.2%, but misses expectation of +.2%, no one cares Pre-Auction Concession + range dynamics weigh on 10's, MBS follow The movements in bonds this AM tells us just how focused the market is on the upcoming auction. Granted, the econ data earlier today isn't exactly "top shelf" (or even middle shelf for that matter), but without a microscope, it's hard to tell if it was even traded. The "room to run" that AQ discussed this AM in conjunction with the standard pre-auction concession is dominating the movements in the benchmark, which itself, is forcing MBS prices lower. Somewhere between an eighth and a quarter of a point has left the YSP building...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.
Underwriters: Loan Quality Still in Need of Improvement; Interesting FICO Score Data; Will the Fed sell their MBS Holdings?	3/10/2010 10:22 AM
Posted To: Pipeline Press At the last company Christmas party, loan agents lined up on one side of the room and the underwriters on the other side. The loan agents throw fire cracker at the underwriters...and the underwriters lit them and threw them back. A long-time underwriter wrote to me and opined, "Consumers always want more than what they can afford and we gave them exactly what they wanted for the last 10 years (without any prudent financial advice). I actually like the guideline changes and feel it is necessary to eradicate some of the lackadaisicalness that I hear in some underwriter's voices. Manufacturing quality is still a problem for the Agencies, and originating mortgage companies are still closing loans that are not 100% purchasable by the aggregators upon delivery. Fannie and Freddie have technology...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.
MBS OPEN: Rates Ticking Higher Just Because They Can	3/10/2010 7:40 AM
Posted To: MBS Commentary Good Morning. I've had some great coaches in my lifetime...none better than my high school/juniors hockey skipper. Many of the messages he bestowed upon me have carried over from the locker room into my professional life. One of my favorites is the K.I.S.S principle. KEEP IT SIMPLE STUPID This is incredibly relevant to the current market environment. The econ calendar isn't providing much meaningful guidance at the moment. Stocks are still showing an unwavering inclination to do what they want, when then want. Politicians are counting votes, leaving some of the most important reform debates of our era at the mercy of party lines. Fiscal affairs abroad are falling victim to heavy scrutiny AND speculation. Overall, this doesn't paint a very clear BIG PICTURE perspective. Well actually...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.
The Day Ahead: Inventories, Budget Statement, Treasury Auction	3/10/2010 7:22 AM
Posted To: MND NewsWire Investors this morning await the first real data to be released this week. But wholesale trade inventories isn’t a major market mover, nor is the afternoon’s budget statement, so it could be a quiet day if investors prefer to postpone trading until retail sales figures hit the headlines on Friday. One hour before the opening bell, the market is pretty flat. Dow futures are down 1 point at 10,563 and futures on the S&P 500 are up 0.00 points to 1,140.50 Meantime, WTI crude oil is up 31 cents to $81.80 per barrel, and Spot Gold is trading $5.15 higher at $1,127.00. Earlier today the Mortgage Bankers Association said its index of mortgage application rose 0.5% in the first week of March, but it remains down 12.5% from last year. Key Events Today: 10:00 ― Wholesale Trade Inventories...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.
Explaining The MBS Settlement Process	3/9/2010 3:51 PM
Posted To: MBS Commentary 10yr Notes progressively improved into the PM , ending 5 ticks better on the day with a yield of 3.70. MBS fought off much of the AM weakness in tsy's, and rallied just as well into the PM, reaching 101-15 at 4pm. But then we ended 4 ticks down on the day at 101-01! WHAT?!?!? So you're tellin' me MBS effectively erased all gains from the past two days?! Not exactly... I'll let AQ explain... -------------------------------------------- If you haven't read the following description of the agency MBS settlement process...please don't skip over it as it may save you from having to change your pants when next month's settlement rolls around. If you have read it...go over it one more time just to make sure the underlying logic is clear. The March FN 4.5 MBS coupon has...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.
Commercial and Multifamily Mortgages Outperforming Overall Bank Holdings	3/9/2010 2:45 PM
Posted To: MND NewsWire Commercial and multifamily mortgages continue to have the lowest rates of charge-offs of any loan types at banks and thrifts and perform better than the overall loan portfolios at those institutions according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). In response to what it referred to as a great deal of discussion and conjecture about those loans in recent months, MBA updated an earlier " DataNote " analysis of commercial and multifamily mortgage data from the 4th quarter of 2008 with data from the same period in 2009. The report states that 56 percent of the assets held by banks and thrifts at the end of 2009 consisted of loans and leases, a category that includes 1-4 family mortgages, home equity loans, credit cards and other consumer loans, commercial mortgages, multifamily mortgages...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.
HUD Enforcing Job Creation Requirements for State and Local Governments	3/9/2010 2:37 PM
Posted To: MND NewsWire The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) has released the results of the first stage of its increased oversight and enforcement of job creation requirements under Section 3 of the Housing and Urban Development Act of 1968. In a press release on Monday HUD said that more than 3,100 state and local government agencies that receive HUD funds have responded to its campaign to expand hiring and contracting opportunities for low-income persons and three out of four of HUD-funded state and local agencies had submitted their annual reports. HUD said that this was the largest response since HUD made such reporting mandatory. Under Section 3, state and local governments that receive funding from HUD in excess of $200,000 for activities involving housing construction, demolition, rehabilitation...(read more) Forward this article via email: Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.

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